Leading now · most covered, last 24 hours · as of Nov 11, 10:45 AM EST
Top stories · as of Nov 11, 10:45 AM EST

The next 16 most covered of the 179 stories with coverage in the last 24 hours

Events several outlets have carried, grouped by the published rule and corrected by hand. Each opens a page that keeps every article and its own link.

Read the Daily Brief
How this list is chosen

Four things could decide what leads a page like this. Three of them do not, here, and saying which is the point.

  • Coverage volume: yes. The first sort is how many separate outlets carried the event. Nine outlets ranks above four.
  • Recency: yes, second. Where the outlet count ties, the story whose newest article is newer goes first.
  • Editorial selection: no. No one picks these. An editor can correct a grouping, retitle a story or write its summary, and every one of those actions is dated on the story's own page. None of them changes the order.
  • What you read: no. The Monitor does not know what you read. Following a story is a choice you make, it needs an account so it can survive a cleared cookie and reach your other devices, and it changes what your own page and your briefing carry. It does not change this order for anyone.

Submit an article

Coverage per day, news and broadcast
02356Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8Nov 9Nov 10Nov 1102356Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11
News items per dayPodcast episodes, broadcast segments, and videos per dayPeak: Oct 29, 2026, 0 items
Latest
ForecastSep 11Stated probability: 30 to 60 percent odds of a fatal AI disasterPersonnel changeSep 11NBC reports two further researcher departures citing safety concernsResearch publicationSep 11AI legislative update, September 11, 2026Safety disclosureSep 10Anthropic publishes Detecting and countering misuse of AI: September 2026Government actionSep 10Senator Hawley opens a subcommittee investigation into OpenAI, documents due October 1Open letterSep 10Open letter about the Mathathon, 771 signatoriesForecastSep 10ScienceSoft forecasts AI risk in 60 to 80 percent of new liability and cyber underwriting by 2028Advocacy actionSep 10ARI launches a 50-state advocacy initiativeSafety disclosureSep 10Anthropic reports that users in Houthi-held Yemen ran three weapons programs on Claude Code, including guidance software for a rocket that failed its test, and says it blocked the accountsGovernment actionSep 9Governor signs AB 1405 and SB 813Safety disclosureSep 9Anthropic publishes an alignment assessment of recent cybersecurity incidentsPersonnel changeSep 9Researcher Jacob Coxon resigns and publishes a statementPersonnel changeSep 9Paul Christiano joins the OpenAI Foundation board as a nonvoting observer on the Safety CommitteeForecastSep 9Stated probability: above 10 percent within the decadeForecastSep 9Stated probability: about 4 percent within one year and 15 percent within three yearsForecastSep 9Compiled stated probabilities: Yampolskiy 99.99 percent, Musk about 20 percent, Amodei 10 to 25 percent, Hinton 10 to 20 percent
01The wire

Latest coverage

Recent reporting, linked to the outlet that published it.

Latest articlesSearch all coverage

Submit an article

02People & organizations

People, organizations and outlets

See who the coverage names and which outlets publish it, using the window shown for each tally.

03Source library

Documents and filings

Explore dated primary sources and public filings, with one dot for each record shown.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepLabsGovernmentMoneyPeople and papers
Labs: releases and disclosuresGovernment: actions and billsMoney: rounds, filings, contributionsPeople and papers: departures, letters, research, forecasts
Lobbying filing
259
Political contribution
151
Securities filing
105
Safety disclosure
11
Research publication
7
Government action
7
Lobbying registration
6
Forecast
5
Funding round
4
Model release
3
Legislation
3
Personnel change
3
Open letter
2
Acquisition
1
Advocacy action
1

Showing 568 of 569 records on file, the ones dated 2026 and later. All source records.

Correct this record

04The ledger

Contributions and lobbying

Follow reported contributions and lobbying through their FEC and Senate filings.

Contributions, FEC records, largest on file
Elon Musk filing to Slf PAC
$83M
Elon Musk filing to Slf PAC
$75M
Marc Andreessen filing to Leading the Future
$25M
Benjamin Horowitz filing to Leading the Future
$25M
Elon Musk filing to Clf
$20M
Elon Musk filing to America PAC
$16M
Elon Musk filing to America PAC
$15M
Elon Musk filing to America PAC
$14M
Elon Musk filing to America PAC
$13M
Greg Brockman filing to Leading the Future
$13M
Anna Brockman filing to Leading the Future
$13M
Elon Musk filing to America PAC
$12M
Federal lobbying, Senate LDA, Q2 2026 and Q3 2026
Meta filing Q2 2026
$6M
Meta filing Q3 2026
$5.9M
Alphabet filing Q2 2026
$5.3M
Amazon filing Q3 2026
$4.5M
Google filing Q3 2026
$3.2M
Apple filing Q2 2026
$2.7M
Apple filing Q3 2026
$3.1M
Microsoft filing Q2 2026
$3M
Microsoft filing Q3 2026
$2.4M
Oracle filing Q3 2026
$2.9M
Nvidia filing Q2 2026
$1.3M
Nvidia filing Q3 2026
$2.1M
Anthropic filing Q2 2026
$2M
Anthropic filing Q3 2026
$2.1M
Palantir filing Q3 2026
$2.1M
Salesforce filing Q2 2026
$1.5M
Salesforce filing Q3 2026
$1.3M
OpenAI filing Q2 2026
$1.2M
OpenAI filing Q3 2026
$1.5M
Intel filing Q3 2026
$1.1M
AMD filing Q2 2026
$890K
AMD filing Q3 2026
$920K
Tesla filing Q2 2026
$650K
Tesla filing Q3 2026
$650K
IBM filing Q2 2026
$640K
IBM filing Q3 2026
$390K
Scale AI filing Q2 2026
$620K
Scale AI filing Q3 2026
$610K
CoreWeave filing Q2 2026
$180K
CoreWeave filing Q3 2026
$190K
Q2 2026Q3 2026

Showing 42 of 1,292 public filings on file. All filings and reported figures.

Correct this record

05Money & influence

AI funding and forecasts

Explore funding figures and analyst forecasts, with each market definition and time period kept separate.

$100M$1B$10B$100B2024202620282030203220342036AIAT.report · $276B (2030)New Market Pitch · $51B (2036)Market.us · $19B (2035)Global Market Insights · $13B (2035)MarketsandMarkets · $5.8B (2029)Grand View Research · $3.6B (2033)Mordor Intelligence · $1.5B (2031)
Forecast, base to target yearHighest forecast in the setLog scale. Four market definitions and six target years, shown side by side rather than compared as one market.
Safety philanthropy, as reported
Future of Life InstituteTotal expenses, 2025$46.19M
Future of Life InstituteGrants to charitable organizations, 2025$26.72M
Future of Life InstituteMedia and outreach, 2025$5.79M
Survival and Flourishing FundGrants organized, 2019 to 2025, cumulative$152M
CSET, GeorgetownOpen Philanthropy grants, 2019 to 2025$100M
METRFunding commitments, six months to August 14, 2026$71M
Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy)Estimated philanthropic AI safety and security funding, 2024 (analyst estimate)$450M to $750M
Center for AI PolicyShare of AI safety funding supporting direct advocacy, per its closing statementless than 3 percent
Institute budgets, as reported
US CAISI (NIST)FY2026 $15 million total; FY2027 request $27 million
UK AI Security Institute£100 million initial
EU AI Office38 additional staff as of July 31, 2026
Canada AISICA$50 million over five years
Australia AISIA$29.9 million over four years
Singapore AISIS$10 million per year
India AI Safety Institute20 crore rupees initial
Insurance, as reported
Armilla with Chaucer (Lloyd's)Affirmative AI liability insurance launched April 30, 2025
TestudoGenerative AI lawsuits up 137 percent in 2025, per its market update
ScienceSoftAI-specific insurance from $40 million (2024) to $4.8 billion (2032), about 0.34 percent of commercial P&C premiums by 2032

Suggest a forecast to add

06Compare perspectives

Same topic, different readings

Read contrasting published positions on the same topic, with each linked to its source.

Two items are paired only when the same topic rule matched both and the record places them on the two opposing catalogued positions for that specific question; a third position that answers a different question, such as on regulation, is never paired against either. Each side is labelled by what kind of evidence it is, a headline or the person's own words, and links to the source. The Monitor does not say which is right.

2 pairs on file. All perspective pairs.

Add a person to the record

07Video

Latest videos

Watch recent AI coverage from the channels named on each video.

205 videos from the last 7 days, as of Nov 11, 10:45 AM EST · Explore all videos

Add a video

08Podcasts

957 podcast episodes on file, Jan 2 to Nov 11, 2026

Browse recent podcast episodes and explore the full collection by day and show.

Episodes per day, Oct 1 to Nov 11, 2026: 140 episodes on file on those days

Latest episodes collected, Jan 2 to Nov 11, 2026

957 episodes on file. Every episode, by show and by day.

Shows by episodes on file, Jan 2 to Nov 11, 2026
The AI Daily Brief
230
a16z Podcast
137
The Twenty Minute VC
92
Eye On A.I.
63
Latent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast
58
How I AI
57

Showing 6 of 28 shows on file

Broadcast segments, 2 in the seed record on file

Seed record, not a lane. Nothing is collecting broadcast, so this list does not grow. Which lanes are running.

All 277 podcast and broadcast records, in Research tools

Add a podcast

09Attribution desk

Claims and their sources

Read what named agencies and labs attribute, alongside their own confidence wording.

DateWho says itWhat they sayTheir own confidence wordingLink
Sep 8, 2026CISA, NSA, and FBIChina-based AI companies conducting industrial-scale distillation campaigns against US AI companies
Names: DeepSeek, Moonshot, Alibaba, MiniMax, StepFun, Z.AI
Joint cybersecurity advisory, stated as the agencies' finding
No company response appears in the advisory
source
Sep 10, 2026Anthropic Threat IntelligenceAbout 200 million exchanges tied to distillation across five campaigns; 151 million attributed to an Alibaba-linked campaign
Names: Alibaba, Moonshot AI, DeepSeek
Anthropic's report; some requests described as routed directly from the Chinese military
No response or denial from any named company appears in the coverage found
source
Sep 10, 2026Anthropic Threat IntelligenceGTG-20006 targeted more than 20 organizations in Ukraine and Europe
Names: Assessed Russian state nexus
Assessedsource

3 of 7 attribution records

10Prediction markets

Prediction Markets

Explore current prices and outcome charts from the Prediction Markets page.

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Prediction market · 2 outcomes

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

99%chance
Leading outcome
Anthropic
Anthropic
99%
OpenAI
2%

One bar per outcome, each the price of that outcome right now, all read at the same moment. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
460,826
Priced
2 of 2
Closes
Jan 1, 2040
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 7 outcomes

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

53%chance
Leading outcome
Jun 1, 2027
050100Dec2026Jan2027Feb2027Mar2027Apr2027May202753%Jun2027050100Dec2026Feb2027Apr202753%Jun2027

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
404,041
Priced
7 of 7
Deadlines
Dec 1, 2026 to Jun 1, 2027
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · one outcome

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

51%chance
This market
Yes, by Jan 1, 2028
050100

The bar is today's price on this one market, out of 100. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
62,334
Priced
1 of 1
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

61%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2028
050100Jan202761%Jan2028050100Jan202761%Jan2028

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
69,835
Priced
2 of 2
Deadlines
Jan 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 12 outcomes

When will any company achieve AGI?

80%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2030
050100Dec2026Jan2027Apr2027Jul2027Oct2027Jan2028Apr2028Jul2028Oct2028Jan202980%Jan2030Jan2031050100Dec2026Jul2027Apr2028Jan202980%Jan2031

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Since the previous readingdown 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST up 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST up 2 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST
Traded
263,619
Priced
12 of 12
Deadlines
Dec 1, 2026 to Jan 1, 2031
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 6 outcomes

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?

91%chance
Leading outcome
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs
91%
JPMorgan Chase
3%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Morgan Stanley
1%
No Listed Underwriter
1%

One bar per outcome, each the price of that outcome right now, all read at the same moment. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
108,315
Priced
6 of 6
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

46%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2028
050100Jan2027Jul202746%Jan2028050100Jan2027Jul202746%Jan2028

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
15,306
Priced
3 of 3
Deadlines
Jan 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 6 outcomes

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?

68%chance
Leading outcome
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs
68%
Morgan Stanley
23%
No Listed Underwriter
3%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
JPMorgan Chase
1%

One bar per outcome, each the price of that outcome right now, all read at the same moment. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
24,916
Priced
6 of 6
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

34%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2030
050100Jan2028Jan202934%Jan2030050100Jan2028Jan202934%Jan2030

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Since the previous readingup 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST up 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST
Traded
10,293
Priced
3 of 3
Deadlines
Jan 1, 2028 to Jan 1, 2030
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

56%chance
This market
Yes, by Jan 1, 2028
050100

The bar is today's price on this one market, out of 100. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
9,324
Priced
1 of 1
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

72%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2028
050100Dec2026Jan2027Jul202772%Jan2028050100Dec2026Jan2027Jul202772%Jan2028

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
13,518
Priced
4 of 4
Deadlines
Dec 1, 2026 to Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 12 outcomes

What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?

94%chance
Leading outcome
Information Technology
Information Technology
94%
Unassigned
6%
Communication Services
5%
Consumer Discretionary
1%
Consumer Staples
1%
Energy
1%
Financials
1%
Health Care
1%
Industrials
1%
Materials
1%
Real Estate
1%
Utilities
1%

One bar per outcome, each the price of that outcome right now, all read at the same moment. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
27,073
Priced
12 of 12
Closes
Jan 11, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

11%chance
This market
Yes, by Jan 1, 2028
050100

The bar is today's price on this one market, out of 100. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
6,449
Priced
1 of 1
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 4 outcomes

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

76%chance
Leading outcome
Jan 1, 2030
050100Jan2027Jan2028Jan202976%Jan2030050100Jan2027Jan2028Jan202976%Jan2030

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Since the previous readingdown 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST up 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST up 1 points since Nov 10, 10:16 AM EST
Traded
10,955
Priced
4 of 4
Deadlines
Jan 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2030
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 5 outcomes

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

92%chance
Leading outcome
Dec 31, 2027
050100Dec2026Mar2027Jun2027Sep202792%Dec2027050100Dec2026Mar2027Jun2027Sep202792%Dec2027

One column per deadline, each the price of that deadline right now, all read at the same moment. Not a price history. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
9,941
Priced
5 of 5
Deadlines
Dec 31, 2026 to Dec 31, 2027
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

Prediction market · 12 outcomes

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

86%chance
Leading outcome
Information Technology
Information Technology
86%
Unassigned
11%
Communication Services
6%
Consumer Discretionary
4%
Consumer Staples
4%
Energy
4%
Financials
4%
Health Care
4%
Industrials
4%
Materials
4%
Real Estate
4%
Utilities
4%

One bar per outcome, each the price of that outcome right now, all read at the same moment. Prediction market price, not a Monitor forecast.

Price historyBegins 24 September 2026. One reading of this question is on file, so there is no line yet.
Traded
27,641
Priced
12 of 12
Closes
Jan 11, 2028
Settles
CFTC regulated exchange

Prediction market data provided by Kalshi. Rights

Open on Kalshi

A price is what people are willing to bet, which is a fact about the market and not about the event. The Monitor does not forecast and does not take a position.

251 open markets. All prediction markets.

Correct this record

11Coverage Intensity Index

Coverage intensity

Compare coverage and discourse volume with their 90-day medians using the published weights.

177index
Reading, 100 = 90-day median.
Weights published. Set your own in the Workbench.
Coverage volume w 0.67
206Publisher feeds and Google News, all languages
Discourse volume w 0.33
117Hacker News

Get the briefing

Daily or weekly, at most eight developments, each one a story page you can open. Your address is held on Paciva AI's mailing list, never sold or shared, and every message carries a one click unsubscribe link.

Choose daily or weekly

Add what the record is missing

Any section takes a note with a source. Notes show immediately and rise when readers who usually disagree both find them helpful. Posting one needs an account. Send a headline and its source for the record from the Notes page.

Open Notes